Tank Readings Analysis

Offline Fixture Replay
Sample S050 for tank E4428A
Celsius Hire Ltd ยท FT2000-032 ORD-3582 BAXTER
Differs from expected baseline Mismatch: fingerprint, health_score, events
baseline
Sampling Class SEMI_SPARSE
Data Health 29%
Usage Rate (L/day) 78.3
Days Remaining 18
Weekly Consumption Hidden 0 reportable weeks / 13
Points Processed
Raw: 320
Deduped: 0

Pipeline Output (Litres)

Raw    Smoothed    Noise/Spike  |  Click a point to inspect analysis.

Weekly Consumption Report

Weekly consumption is hidden because the tank data health is too low to trust week-on-week deltas.
Needs at least 4 reportable weeks, health 85%+, and coverage 60%+.
Sampling SEMI_SPARSE
Data Health 29.0%
Bars are shown only for weeks with enough clean coverage. Missing or unreliable weeks are left blank.

Detected Events

Time Type Delta (L)
Mar 31 05:44 TOPUP 578
Mar 27 23:39 SUDDEN_DROP 50
Mar 25 05:34 SUDDEN_DROP 52
Mar 24 11:33 TOPUP 323
Mar 24 05:33 TOPUP 170
Mar 23 11:32 SUDDEN_DROP 95
Mar 17 05:22 TOPUP 230
Mar 16 23:22 TOPUP 293
Mar 16 17:22 TOPUP 125
Mar 15 17:20 SUDDEN_DROP 84
Mar 09 11:09 TOPUP 481
Mar 03 17:02 TOPUP 230
Feb 23 10:51 TOPUP 795
Feb 21 22:49 SUDDEN_DROP 63
Feb 16 22:42 SUDDEN_DROP 63
Feb 16 10:41 TOPUP 669
Feb 14 04:38 SUDDEN_DROP 63
Feb 13 16:37 SUDDEN_DROP 63
Feb 09 16:31 TOPUP 230
Feb 09 10:31 TOPUP 544
Feb 09 04:30 SUDDEN_DROP 105
Feb 08 04:29 SUDDEN_DROP 63
Feb 03 22:22 SUDDEN_DROP 63
Feb 02 22:20 TOPUP 774
Feb 01 22:18 SUDDEN_DROP 105
Jan 30 22:16 SUDDEN_DROP 63
Jan 29 22:14 SUDDEN_DROP 63
Jan 28 22:13 SUDDEN_DROP 84
Jan 26 16:09 TOPUP 230
Jan 26 10:09 TOPUP 418
Jan 24 04:05 SUDDEN_DROP 63
Jan 20 15:58 SUDDEN_DROP 63
Jan 20 03:57 TOPUP 146
Jan 18 03:53 SUDDEN_DROP 63
Jan 17 15:52 SUDDEN_DROP 63
Jan 16 21:51 SUDDEN_DROP 272
Jan 16 15:50 TOPUP 1,296
Jan 15 21:49 SUDDEN_DROP 63
Jan 12 15:42 TOPUP 732
Jan 12 03:42 LOW_LEVEL 481L (25%)
Jan 10 21:40 SUDDEN_DROP 63
Jan 09 15:38 SUDDEN_DROP 63
Jan 07 15:35 SUDDEN_DROP 84

Pipeline Trace

[Pipeline] Starting Pipeline execution...
[StageIngestSnapshot] Loaded 320 snapshot readings.
[StageValidate] Validation complete. Invalidated: 0
[StageDedup] Removed 0 duplicates.
[StageGapAnalysis] Median Interval: 6.0h, Max Gap: 24.0h. Class: SEMI_SPARSE
[StageNoise] Applied smoothing to 320 points.
[StageNoise] Applied Monotonic + Stability Filter. Clamped 8 points.
[StageMetrics] Calculated per-point usage rates.
[StageMetrics] Set Global Usage Rate to LATEST: 78.29 L/day.
[StageMetrics] Health Score: 29% (Good: 286, Fair: 21, Poor: 13)
[StageVisuals] Generated series. Raw: 320, Smooth: 307
[Pipeline] Pipeline completed in 7.03ms

Weekly Consumption Data Used

This table shows the exact weekly windows and start/end smoothed volumes used for the weekly report. Weeks with top-ups, drops, noise, or weak coverage are kept for audit but excluded from the chart values.
Week Week Range Data Used Start (L) End (L) Net Change (L) Consumption (L) Readings Span (days) Max Gap (h) Status Checks
2026-W02 05 Jan - 11 Jan 2026 06 Jan 03:32 - 11 Jan 21:41 1,338.2 522.8 -815.5 815.5 23 5.8 12.0 INSUFFICIENT Issue: Event In Week
2026-W03 12 Jan - 18 Jan 2026 12 Jan 03:42 - 18 Jan 15:54 480.9 1,672.8 1,191.9 0.0 24 6.5 12.0 INSUFFICIENT Issue: Event In Week
2026-W04 19 Jan - 25 Jan 2026 19 Jan 03:55 - 25 Jan 22:08 1,672.8 1,171.0 -501.8 501.8 20 6.8 24.0 INSUFFICIENT Issue: Event In Week
2026-W05 26 Jan - 01 Feb 2026 26 Jan 10:09 - 01 Feb 22:18 1,589.2 1,045.5 -543.7 543.7 19 6.5 24.0 INSUFFICIENT Issue: Event In Week
2026-W06 02 Feb - 08 Feb 2026 02 Feb 22:20 - 08 Feb 22:30 1,819.2 1,150.1 -669.1 669.1 20 6.0 18.0 INSUFFICIENT Issue: Event In Week
2026-W07 09 Feb - 15 Feb 2026 09 Feb 04:30 - 15 Feb 22:40 1,045.5 1,171.0 125.5 0.0 28 6.8 6.0 INSUFFICIENT Issue: Event In Week
2026-W08 16 Feb - 22 Feb 2026 16 Feb 04:41 - 22 Feb 22:50 1,150.1 1,045.5 -104.6 104.6 26 6.8 12.0 INSUFFICIENT Issue: Event In Week
2026-W09 23 Feb - 01 Mar 2026 23 Feb 04:51 - 28 Feb 16:58 1,024.6 1,484.6 460.0 0.0 24 5.5 6.0 INSUFFICIENT Issue: Event In Week
2026-W10 02 Mar - 08 Mar 2026 02 Mar 23:01 - 08 Mar 23:09 1,505.5 1,380.1 -125.5 125.5 18 6.0 18.0 INSUFFICIENT Issue: Event In Week
2026-W11 09 Mar - 15 Mar 2026 09 Mar 05:09 - 15 Mar 23:21 1,338.2 1,191.9 -146.4 146.4 27 6.8 18.0 INSUFFICIENT Issue: Event In Week
2026-W12 16 Mar - 22 Mar 2026 16 Mar 05:21 - 22 Mar 23:31 1,171.0 1,452.8 281.9 0.0 26 6.8 12.0 INSUFFICIENT Issue: Event In Week
2026-W13 23 Mar - 29 Mar 2026 23 Mar 05:31 - 29 Mar 23:42 1,422.5 1,258.8 -163.7 163.7 27 6.8 12.0 INSUFFICIENT Issue: Event In Week
2026-W14 30 Mar - 05 Apr 2026 30 Mar 23:44 - 05 Apr 23:52 1,242.7 1,428.6 185.9 0.0 25 6.0 6.0 INSUFFICIENT Issue: Event In Week

Detailed Reading Analysis

Timestamp Raw (L) Smooth (L) Rate (L/d) Status Decision Speed Health Analysis Log
06/01/2026 03:32:50 1,338.24 1,338.24 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,338.24, 1,338.24, 1,296.42] -> Median: 1,338.24
โ€ข Usage Rate: No suitable anchor found in 28 days.
06/01/2026 09:33:12 1,296.42 1,296.42 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,338.24, 1,296.42, 1,275.51] -> Median: 1,296.42
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: No suitable anchor found in 28 days.
06/01/2026 15:33:34 1,275.51 1,275.51 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,296.42, 1,275.51, 1,233.69] -> Median: 1,275.51
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: No suitable anchor found in 28 days.
06/01/2026 21:33:56 1,233.69 1,233.69 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,275.51, 1,233.69, 1,170.96] -> Median: 1,233.69
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: No suitable anchor found in 28 days.
07/01/2026 09:35:08 1,170.96 1,170.96 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,233.69, 1,170.96, 1,066.41] -> Median: 1,170.96
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Event Check: Drop of 62.7L over 12.0h. Rate 5.22L/h is safe (<15). Ignored.
โ€ข Usage Rate: No suitable anchor found in 28 days.
07/01/2026 15:35:29 1,066.41 1,087.32 - SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,170.96, 1,066.41, 1,087.32] -> Median: 1,087.32
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 83.6L in 6.0h (13.9 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: No suitable anchor found in 28 days.
07/01/2026 21:35:49 1,087.32 1,066.41 - Valid Immediate FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,066.41, 1,087.32, 1,045.50] -> Median: 1,066.41
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 125.5L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: No suitable anchor found in 28 days.
08/01/2026 03:36:11 1,045.50 1,045.50 146.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,087.32, 1,045.50, 1,024.59] -> Median: 1,045.50
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 146.4L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 146.2 L/d (Window: 2.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-06 03:32:50)
08/01/2026 09:36:46 1,024.59 1,024.59 139.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,045.50, 1,024.59, 1,003.68] -> Median: 1,024.59
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 167.3L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 139.2 L/d (Window: 2.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-06 03:32:50)
08/01/2026 15:37:06 1,003.68 1,003.68 133.7 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,024.59, 1,003.68, 961.86] -> Median: 1,003.68
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 188.2L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 133.7 L/d (Window: 2.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-06 03:32:50)
08/01/2026 21:37:28 961.86 961.86 136.7 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,003.68, 961.86, 920.04] -> Median: 961.86
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 209.1L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 136.7 L/d (Window: 2.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-06 03:32:50)
09/01/2026 03:37:48 920.04 920.04 139.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [961.86, 920.04, 899.13] -> Median: 920.04
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 250.9L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 139.2 L/d (Window: 3.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-06 03:32:50)
09/01/2026 09:38:14 899.13 899.13 135.0 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [920.04, 899.13, 836.40] -> Median: 899.13
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 292.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 135.0 L/d (Window: 3.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-06 03:32:50)
09/01/2026 15:38:34 836.40 836.40 143.2 SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [899.13, 836.40, 815.49] -> Median: 836.40
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 313.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 62.7L in 6.0h (10.4 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 143.2 L/d (Window: 3.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-06 03:32:50)
09/01/2026 21:38:56 815.49 815.49 139.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [836.40, 815.49, 773.67] -> Median: 815.49
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 376.4L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 139.2 L/d (Window: 3.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-06 03:32:50)
10/01/2026 03:39:17 773.67 773.67 141.0 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [815.49, 773.67, 752.76] -> Median: 773.67
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 397.3L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 141.0 L/d (Window: 4.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-06 03:32:50)
10/01/2026 09:39:38 752.76 752.76 137.6 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [773.67, 752.76, 710.94] -> Median: 752.76
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 439.1L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 137.6 L/d (Window: 4.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-06 03:32:50)
10/01/2026 15:39:58 710.94 710.94 139.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [752.76, 710.94, 648.21] -> Median: 710.94
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 460.0L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 139.2 L/d (Window: 4.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-06 03:32:50)
10/01/2026 21:40:18 648.21 648.21 145.1 SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [710.94, 648.21, 627.30] -> Median: 648.21
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 501.8L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 62.7L in 6.0h (10.4 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 145.1 L/d (Window: 4.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-06 03:32:50)
11/01/2026 03:40:41 627.30 627.30 142.0 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [648.21, 627.30, 606.39] -> Median: 627.30
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 564.6L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 142.0 L/d (Window: 5.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-06 03:32:50)
11/01/2026 09:41:01 606.39 606.39 139.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [627.30, 606.39, 564.57] -> Median: 606.39
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 585.5L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 139.2 L/d (Window: 5.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-06 03:32:50)
11/01/2026 15:41:20 564.57 564.57 140.5 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [606.39, 564.57, 522.75] -> Median: 564.57
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 606.4L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 140.5 L/d (Window: 5.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-06 03:32:50)
11/01/2026 21:41:42 522.75 522.75 141.7 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [564.57, 522.75, 480.93] -> Median: 522.75
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 648.2L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 141.7 L/d (Window: 5.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-06 03:32:50)
12/01/2026 03:42:17 480.93 480.93 142.7 Threshold Alert Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [522.75, 480.93, 480.93] -> Median: 480.93
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 690.0L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: Tank Level below 25% (480.93L < 522.75L).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 142.7 L/d (Window: 6.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-06 03:32:50)
12/01/2026 09:42:34 480.93 480.93 137.0 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [480.93, 480.93, 480.93] -> Median: 480.93 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 137.0 L/d (Window: 6.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-06 03:32:50)
12/01/2026 15:42:52 1,212.78 1,212.78 - Top-up Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,212.78, 1,212.78, 1,170.96] -> Median: 1,212.78 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Top-up Rise of 731.9L. Future stepped down gradually (Valid Usage).
โ€ข Event Reset: Level recovered above threshold + hysteresis.
13/01/2026 03:44:31 1,170.96 1,170.96 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,212.78, 1,170.96, 1,087.32] -> Median: 1,170.96
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 878.2L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
13/01/2026 15:46:09 1,087.32 1,087.32 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,170.96, 1,087.32, 1,087.32] -> Median: 1,087.32
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 920.0L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event Check: Drop of 83.6L over 12.0h. Rate 6.95L/h is safe (<15). Ignored.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.0d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
13/01/2026 21:46:31 1,087.32 1,087.32 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,087.32, 1,087.32, 1,024.59] -> Median: 1,087.32
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
14/01/2026 09:47:39 1,024.59 1,024.59 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,087.32, 1,024.59, 1,003.68] -> Median: 1,024.59
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 1,003.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event Check: Drop of 62.7L over 12.0h. Rate 5.22L/h is safe (<15). Ignored.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
14/01/2026 15:48:03 1,003.68 1,003.68 104.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,024.59, 1,003.68, 982.77] -> Median: 1,003.68
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 1,066.4L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 104.4 L/d (Window: 2.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-12 15:42:52)
14/01/2026 21:48:22 982.77 982.77 102.1 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,003.68, 982.77, 940.95] -> Median: 982.77
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 1,087.3L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 102.1 L/d (Window: 2.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-12 15:42:52)
15/01/2026 03:48:42 940.95 940.95 108.6 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [982.77, 940.95, 920.04] -> Median: 940.95
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 1,108.2L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 108.6 L/d (Window: 2.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-12 15:42:52)
15/01/2026 09:49:03 920.04 920.04 106.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [940.95, 920.04, 899.13] -> Median: 920.04
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 1,150.1L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 106.3 L/d (Window: 2.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-12 15:42:52)
15/01/2026 15:49:25 899.13 899.13 104.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [920.04, 899.13, 836.40] -> Median: 899.13
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 1,171.0L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 104.4 L/d (Window: 3.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-12 15:42:52)
15/01/2026 21:49:44 836.40 836.40 115.6 SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [899.13, 836.40, 836.40] -> Median: 836.40
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 1,191.9L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 62.7L in 6.0h (10.4 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 115.6 L/d (Window: 3.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-12 15:42:52)
16/01/2026 03:50:03 836.40 836.40 107.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [836.40, 836.40, 794.58] -> Median: 836.40
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 107.4 L/d (Window: 3.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-12 15:42:52)
16/01/2026 09:50:25 794.58 794.58 111.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [836.40, 794.58, 794.58] -> Median: 794.58 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 1,254.6L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 111.4 L/d (Window: 3.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-12 15:42:52)
16/01/2026 15:50:44 2,091.00 2,091.00 - Top-up Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [2,091.00, 2,091.00, 1,819.17] -> Median: 2,091.00 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Top-up Rise of 1,296.4L. Future stepped down gradually (Valid Usage).
16/01/2026 21:51:19 1,819.17 1,819.17 - SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [2,091.00, 1,819.17, 1,819.17] -> Median: 1,819.17
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rebound returned near baseline, but only after 2.8d and 9 low points. Drop accepted as real usage.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 271.8L in 6.0h (45.2 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
17/01/2026 03:51:49 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,819.17] -> Median: 1,819.17
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
17/01/2026 09:52:24 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,756.44] -> Median: 1,819.17
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
17/01/2026 15:52:46 1,756.44 1,756.44 - SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,756.44, 1,756.44] -> Median: 1,756.44
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 271.8L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 62.7L in 6.0h (10.4 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.0d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
17/01/2026 21:53:05 1,756.44 1,756.44 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,756.44, 1,756.44, 1,693.71] -> Median: 1,756.44
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
18/01/2026 03:53:25 1,693.71 1,693.71 - SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,756.44, 1,693.71, 1,693.71] -> Median: 1,693.71
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 334.6L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 62.7L in 6.0h (10.4 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
18/01/2026 09:53:48 1,693.71 1,693.71 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,693.71, 1,693.71, 1,630.98] -> Median: 1,693.71
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
18/01/2026 15:54:07 1,630.98 1,672.80 200.0 Valid Immediate FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,693.71, 1,630.98, 1,672.80] -> Median: 1,672.80
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 397.3L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 200.0 L/d (Window: 2.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-16 15:50:44)
19/01/2026 03:55:38 1,672.80 1,672.80 167.1 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,630.98, 1,672.80, 1,672.80] -> Median: 1,672.80 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 167.1 L/d (Window: 2.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-16 15:50:44)
19/01/2026 15:56:52 2,091.00 - - NOISE Rejected (Latency) POOR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [2,091.00, 2,091.00, 2,091.00] -> Median: 2,091.00 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Flagged Top-up Overshoot Spike. Future settled 271.8L below the initial peak within 0.5d while still retaining a real top-up of 146.4L.
19/01/2026 21:57:12 2,091.00 - - NOISE Rejected (Latency) POOR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [2,091.00, 2,091.00, 1,819.17] -> Median: 2,091.00
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Flagged Top-up Overshoot Spike. Future settled 271.8L below the initial peak within 0.3d while still retaining a real top-up of 146.4L.
20/01/2026 03:57:35 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Top-up Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [2,091.00, 1,819.17, 1,819.17] -> Median: 1,819.17
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Top-up Rise of 146.4L. Future stepped down gradually (Valid Usage).
20/01/2026 09:57:51 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,756.44] -> Median: 1,819.17
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
20/01/2026 15:58:13 1,756.44 1,756.44 - SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,756.44, 1,714.62] -> Median: 1,756.44
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 62.7L in 6.0h (10.4 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
21/01/2026 03:59:52 1,714.62 1,714.62 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,756.44, 1,714.62, 1,630.98] -> Median: 1,714.62
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
21/01/2026 16:01:02 1,630.98 1,630.98 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,714.62, 1,630.98, 1,630.98] -> Median: 1,630.98
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Event Check: Drop of 83.6L over 12.0h. Rate 6.96L/h is safe (<15). Ignored.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
21/01/2026 22:01:22 1,630.98 1,630.98 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,630.98, 1,630.98, 1,589.16] -> Median: 1,630.98
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
22/01/2026 04:01:57 1,589.16 1,589.16 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,630.98, 1,589.16, 1,589.16] -> Median: 1,589.16
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 188.2L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
22/01/2026 10:02:32 1,589.16 1,589.16 114.8 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,589.16, 1,589.16, 1,547.34] -> Median: 1,589.16
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 114.8 L/d (Window: 2.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-20 09:57:51)
22/01/2026 16:02:53 1,547.34 1,547.34 120.6 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,589.16, 1,547.34, 1,505.52] -> Median: 1,547.34
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rebound returned near baseline, but only after 3.8d and 11 low points. Drop accepted as real usage.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 120.6 L/d (Window: 2.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-20 09:57:51)
22/01/2026 22:03:28 1,505.52 1,505.52 125.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,547.34, 1,505.52, 1,505.52] -> Median: 1,505.52
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 271.8L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 125.3 L/d (Window: 2.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-20 09:57:51)
23/01/2026 04:04:02 1,505.52 1,505.52 113.9 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,505.52, 1,505.52, 1,463.70] -> Median: 1,505.52
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 113.9 L/d (Window: 2.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-20 09:57:51)
23/01/2026 10:04:24 1,463.70 1,463.70 118.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,505.52, 1,463.70, 1,421.88] -> Median: 1,463.70
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 313.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 118.3 L/d (Window: 3.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-20 09:57:51)
23/01/2026 16:04:58 1,421.88 1,421.88 122.1 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,463.70, 1,421.88, 1,421.88] -> Median: 1,421.88
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 125.5L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 122.1 L/d (Window: 3.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-20 09:57:51)
23/01/2026 22:05:20 1,421.88 1,421.88 113.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,421.88, 1,421.88, 1,359.15] -> Median: 1,421.88
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 113.3 L/d (Window: 3.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-20 09:57:51)
24/01/2026 04:05:55 1,359.15 1,359.15 122.5 SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,421.88, 1,359.15, 1,317.33] -> Median: 1,359.15
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 167.3L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 62.7L in 6.0h (10.4 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 122.5 L/d (Window: 3.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-20 09:57:51)
24/01/2026 16:06:38 1,317.33 1,317.33 117.9 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,359.15, 1,317.33, 1,191.87] -> Median: 1,317.33
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 230.0L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 117.9 L/d (Window: 4.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-20 09:57:51)
25/01/2026 10:07:53 1,191.87 1,191.87 125.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,317.33, 1,191.87, 1,170.96] -> Median: 1,191.87
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 271.8L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event Check: Drop of 125.5L over 18.0h. Rate 6.96L/h is safe (<15). Ignored.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 125.3 L/d (Window: 5.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-20 09:57:51)
25/01/2026 16:08:13 1,170.96 1,170.96 123.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,191.87, 1,170.96, 1,170.96] -> Median: 1,170.96
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 397.3L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 123.3 L/d (Window: 5.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-20 09:57:51)
25/01/2026 22:08:32 1,170.96 1,170.96 117.7 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,170.96, 1,170.96, 1,170.96] -> Median: 1,170.96 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 117.7 L/d (Window: 5.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-20 09:57:51)
26/01/2026 10:09:13 1,589.16 1,589.16 - Top-up Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,589.16, 1,589.16, 1,589.16] -> Median: 1,589.16 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Top-up Rise of 418.2L. Future confirms sustain (Continuous rising).
26/01/2026 16:09:37 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Top-up Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,819.17] -> Median: 1,819.17 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Top-up Rise of 230.0L. Future stepped down gradually (Valid Usage).
26/01/2026 22:09:55 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,819.17] -> Median: 1,819.17
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
27/01/2026 10:10:35 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,777.35] -> Median: 1,819.17
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
27/01/2026 16:10:56 1,777.35 1,777.35 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,777.35, 1,735.53] -> Median: 1,777.35
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
27/01/2026 22:11:35 1,735.53 1,735.53 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,777.35, 1,735.53, 1,672.80] -> Median: 1,735.53
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
28/01/2026 10:12:44 1,672.80 1,672.80 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,735.53, 1,672.80, 1,672.80] -> Median: 1,672.80
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Event Check: Drop of 62.7L over 12.0h. Rate 5.22L/h is safe (<15). Ignored.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.0d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
28/01/2026 16:13:04 1,672.80 1,672.80 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,672.80, 1,672.80, 1,589.16] -> Median: 1,672.80
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
28/01/2026 22:13:23 1,589.16 1,589.16 - SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,672.80, 1,589.16, 1,505.52] -> Median: 1,589.16
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 418.2L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 83.6L in 6.0h (13.9 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
29/01/2026 16:14:27 1,505.52 1,505.52 139.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,589.16, 1,505.52, 1,442.79] -> Median: 1,505.52
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 501.8L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event Check: Drop of 83.6L over 18.0h. Rate 4.64L/h is safe (<15). Ignored.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 139.2 L/d (Window: 2.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-27 10:10:35)
29/01/2026 22:14:49 1,442.79 1,442.79 150.4 SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,505.52, 1,442.79, 1,421.88] -> Median: 1,442.79
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 585.5L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 62.7L in 6.0h (10.4 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 150.4 L/d (Window: 2.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-27 10:10:35)
30/01/2026 10:15:30 1,421.88 1,421.88 132.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,442.79, 1,421.88, 1,380.06] -> Median: 1,421.88
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 648.2L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 132.3 L/d (Window: 3.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-27 10:10:35)
30/01/2026 16:15:49 1,380.06 1,380.06 135.0 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,421.88, 1,380.06, 1,317.33] -> Median: 1,380.06
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 669.1L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 135.0 L/d (Window: 3.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-27 10:10:35)
30/01/2026 22:16:08 1,317.33 1,317.33 143.2 SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,380.06, 1,317.33, 1,317.33] -> Median: 1,317.33
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 710.9L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 62.7L in 6.0h (10.4 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 143.2 L/d (Window: 3.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-27 10:10:35)
31/01/2026 04:16:29 1,317.33 1,317.33 133.7 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,317.33, 1,317.33, 1,296.42] -> Median: 1,317.33
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 133.7 L/d (Window: 3.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-27 10:10:35)
31/01/2026 10:16:48 1,296.42 1,296.42 130.5 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,317.33, 1,296.42, 1,191.87] -> Median: 1,296.42
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 773.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 130.5 L/d (Window: 4.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-27 10:10:35)
01/02/2026 10:18:14 1,191.87 1,191.87 125.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,296.42, 1,191.87, 1,150.05] -> Median: 1,191.87
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 794.6L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event Check: Drop of 104.6L over 24.0h. Rate 4.35L/h is safe (<15). Ignored.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 125.3 L/d (Window: 5.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-27 10:10:35)
01/02/2026 16:18:29 1,150.05 1,150.05 127.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,191.87, 1,150.05, 1,045.50] -> Median: 1,150.05
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 899.1L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 127.3 L/d (Window: 5.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-27 10:10:35)
01/02/2026 22:18:49 1,045.50 1,045.50 140.5 SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,150.05, 1,045.50, 1,045.50] -> Median: 1,045.50 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 941.0L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 104.6L in 6.0h (17.4 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 140.5 L/d (Window: 5.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-01-27 10:10:35)
02/02/2026 16:20:06 2,091.00 - - NOISE Rejected (Latency) POOR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [2,091.00, 2,091.00, 1,819.17] -> Median: 2,091.00 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Flagged Top-up Overshoot Spike. Future settled 271.8L below the initial peak within 0.3d while still retaining a real top-up of 773.7L.
02/02/2026 22:20:27 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Top-up Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [2,091.00, 1,819.17, 1,756.44] -> Median: 1,819.17
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Top-up Rise of 773.7L. Future stepped down gradually (Valid Usage).
03/02/2026 10:21:06 1,756.44 1,756.44 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,756.44, 1,756.44] -> Median: 1,756.44
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Event Check: Drop of 62.7L over 12.0h. Rate 5.22L/h is safe (<15). Ignored.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
03/02/2026 16:21:26 1,756.44 1,756.44 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,756.44, 1,756.44, 1,693.71] -> Median: 1,756.44
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
03/02/2026 22:22:00 1,693.71 1,693.71 - SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,756.44, 1,693.71, 1,672.80] -> Median: 1,693.71
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 62.7L in 6.0h (10.4 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.0d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
04/02/2026 10:22:42 1,672.80 1,672.80 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,693.71, 1,672.80, 1,630.98] -> Median: 1,672.80
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
04/02/2026 16:23:02 1,630.98 1,630.98 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,672.80, 1,630.98, 1,526.43] -> Median: 1,630.98
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
05/02/2026 10:24:20 1,526.43 1,526.43 117.0 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,630.98, 1,526.43, 1,505.52] -> Median: 1,526.43
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rebound returned near baseline, but only after 4.0d and 15 low points. Drop accepted as real usage.
โ€ข Event Check: Drop of 104.6L over 18.0h. Rate 5.80L/h is safe (<15). Ignored.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 117.0 L/d (Window: 2.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-02 22:20:27)
05/02/2026 16:24:42 1,505.52 1,505.52 113.9 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,526.43, 1,505.52, 1,463.70] -> Median: 1,505.52
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 292.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 113.9 L/d (Window: 2.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-02 22:20:27)
05/02/2026 22:25:03 1,463.70 1,463.70 118.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,505.52, 1,463.70, 1,442.79] -> Median: 1,463.70
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 313.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 118.4 L/d (Window: 3.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-02 22:20:27)
06/02/2026 04:25:37 1,442.79 1,442.79 115.7 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,463.70, 1,442.79, 1,421.88] -> Median: 1,442.79
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 125.5L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 115.7 L/d (Window: 3.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-02 22:20:27)
06/02/2026 10:26:12 1,421.88 1,421.88 113.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,442.79, 1,421.88, 1,400.97] -> Median: 1,421.88
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 146.4L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 113.4 L/d (Window: 3.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-02 22:20:27)
06/02/2026 16:26:47 1,400.97 1,400.97 111.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,421.88, 1,400.97, 1,359.15] -> Median: 1,400.97
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 167.3L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 111.4 L/d (Window: 3.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-02 22:20:27)
06/02/2026 22:27:08 1,359.15 1,359.15 114.9 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,400.97, 1,359.15, 1,296.42] -> Median: 1,359.15
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 188.2L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 114.9 L/d (Window: 4.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-02 22:20:27)
07/02/2026 10:27:49 1,296.42 1,296.42 116.0 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,359.15, 1,296.42, 1,254.60] -> Median: 1,296.42
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 230.0L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event Check: Drop of 62.7L over 12.0h. Rate 5.22L/h is safe (<15). Ignored.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 116.0 L/d (Window: 4.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-02 22:20:27)
07/02/2026 16:28:11 1,254.60 1,275.51 114.3 Valid Immediate FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,296.42, 1,254.60, 1,275.51] -> Median: 1,275.51
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 292.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 114.3 L/d (Window: 4.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-02 22:20:27)
07/02/2026 22:28:33 1,275.51 1,254.60 112.8 Valid Immediate FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,254.60, 1,275.51, 1,191.87] -> Median: 1,254.60
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 313.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 112.8 L/d (Window: 5.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-02 22:20:27)
08/02/2026 04:29:07 1,191.87 1,191.87 119.3 SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,275.51, 1,191.87, 1,191.87] -> Median: 1,191.87
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 334.6L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 62.7L in 6.0h (10.4 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 119.3 L/d (Window: 5.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-02 22:20:27)
08/02/2026 10:29:27 1,191.87 1,191.87 113.9 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,191.87, 1,191.87, 1,170.96] -> Median: 1,191.87
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 113.9 L/d (Window: 5.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-02 22:20:27)
08/02/2026 16:29:50 1,170.96 1,170.96 112.6 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,191.87, 1,170.96, 1,150.05] -> Median: 1,170.96
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 397.3L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 112.6 L/d (Window: 5.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-02 22:20:27)
08/02/2026 22:30:24 1,150.05 1,150.05 111.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,170.96, 1,150.05, 1,045.50] -> Median: 1,150.05
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 418.2L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 111.4 L/d (Window: 6.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-02 22:20:27)
09/02/2026 04:30:42 1,045.50 1,045.50 123.6 SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,150.05, 1,045.50, 1,045.50] -> Median: 1,045.50 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 439.1L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 104.6L in 6.0h (17.4 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 123.6 L/d (Window: 6.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-02 22:20:27)
09/02/2026 10:31:04 1,589.16 1,589.16 - Top-up Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,589.16, 1,589.16, 1,589.16] -> Median: 1,589.16 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Top-up Rise of 543.7L. Future confirms sustain (Continuous rising).
09/02/2026 16:31:23 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Top-up Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,819.17] -> Median: 1,819.17 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Top-up Rise of 230.0L. Future stepped down gradually (Valid Usage).
09/02/2026 22:31:57 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,819.17] -> Median: 1,819.17
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
10/02/2026 04:32:16 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,777.35] -> Median: 1,819.17
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
10/02/2026 10:32:32 1,777.35 1,777.35 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,777.35, 1,756.44] -> Median: 1,777.35
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
10/02/2026 16:33:08 1,756.44 1,756.44 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,777.35, 1,756.44, 1,756.44] -> Median: 1,756.44
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
10/02/2026 22:33:27 1,756.44 1,756.44 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,756.44, 1,756.44, 1,714.62] -> Median: 1,756.44
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
11/02/2026 04:33:50 1,714.62 1,714.62 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,756.44, 1,714.62, 1,672.80] -> Median: 1,714.62
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.0d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
11/02/2026 10:34:15 1,672.80 1,672.80 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,714.62, 1,672.80, 1,672.80] -> Median: 1,672.80
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
11/02/2026 16:34:49 1,672.80 1,672.80 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,672.80, 1,672.80, 1,630.98] -> Median: 1,672.80
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
11/02/2026 22:35:08 1,630.98 1,630.98 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,672.80, 1,630.98, 1,610.07] -> Median: 1,630.98
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 146.4L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
12/02/2026 04:35:27 1,610.07 1,610.07 104.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,630.98, 1,610.07, 1,589.16] -> Median: 1,610.07
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 188.2L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 104.4 L/d (Window: 2.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-10 04:32:16)
12/02/2026 10:35:51 1,589.16 1,589.16 102.1 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,610.07, 1,589.16, 1,568.25] -> Median: 1,589.16
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 209.1L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 102.1 L/d (Window: 2.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-10 04:32:16)
12/02/2026 16:36:13 1,568.25 1,568.25 100.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,589.16, 1,568.25, 1,547.34] -> Median: 1,568.25
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 230.0L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 100.3 L/d (Window: 2.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-10 04:32:16)
12/02/2026 22:36:35 1,547.34 1,547.34 98.7 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,568.25, 1,547.34, 1,505.52] -> Median: 1,547.34
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 250.9L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 98.7 L/d (Window: 2.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-10 04:32:16)
13/02/2026 04:37:10 1,505.52 1,505.52 104.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,547.34, 1,505.52, 1,505.52] -> Median: 1,505.52
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 271.8L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 104.4 L/d (Window: 3.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-10 04:32:16)
13/02/2026 10:37:34 1,505.52 1,505.52 96.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,505.52, 1,505.52, 1,442.79] -> Median: 1,505.52
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 96.4 L/d (Window: 3.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-10 04:32:16)
13/02/2026 16:37:53 1,442.79 1,442.79 107.4 SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,505.52, 1,442.79, 1,421.88] -> Median: 1,442.79
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 313.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 62.7L in 6.0h (10.4 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 107.4 L/d (Window: 3.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-10 04:32:16)
13/02/2026 22:38:13 1,421.88 1,421.88 105.8 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,442.79, 1,421.88, 1,338.24] -> Median: 1,421.88
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 376.4L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 105.8 L/d (Window: 3.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-10 04:32:16)
14/02/2026 04:38:36 1,338.24 1,359.15 114.9 SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,421.88, 1,338.24, 1,359.15] -> Median: 1,359.15
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 397.3L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 62.7L in 6.0h (10.4 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 114.9 L/d (Window: 4.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-10 04:32:16)
14/02/2026 10:38:55 1,359.15 1,338.24 113.0 Valid Immediate FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,338.24, 1,359.15, 1,338.24] -> Median: 1,338.24
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 460.0L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 113.0 L/d (Window: 4.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-10 04:32:16)
14/02/2026 16:39:17 1,338.24 1,338.24 106.8 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,359.15, 1,338.24, 1,317.33] -> Median: 1,338.24
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 106.8 L/d (Window: 4.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-10 04:32:16)
14/02/2026 22:39:32 1,317.33 1,317.33 105.5 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,338.24, 1,317.33, 1,275.51] -> Median: 1,317.33
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 480.9L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 105.5 L/d (Window: 4.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-10 04:32:16)
15/02/2026 04:39:51 1,275.51 1,275.51 108.6 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,317.33, 1,275.51, 1,233.69] -> Median: 1,275.51
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 501.8L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 108.6 L/d (Window: 5.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-10 04:32:16)
15/02/2026 10:40:10 1,233.69 1,233.69 111.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,275.51, 1,233.69, 1,191.87] -> Median: 1,233.69
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 543.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 111.4 L/d (Window: 5.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-10 04:32:16)
15/02/2026 16:40:29 1,191.87 1,191.87 113.9 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,233.69, 1,191.87, 1,170.96] -> Median: 1,191.87
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 585.5L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 113.9 L/d (Window: 5.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-10 04:32:16)
15/02/2026 22:40:47 1,170.96 1,170.96 112.6 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,191.87, 1,170.96, 1,150.05] -> Median: 1,170.96
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 627.3L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 112.6 L/d (Window: 5.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-10 04:32:16)
16/02/2026 04:41:22 1,150.05 1,150.05 111.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,170.96, 1,150.05, 1,150.05] -> Median: 1,150.05 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 648.2L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 111.4 L/d (Window: 6.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-10 04:32:16)
16/02/2026 10:41:40 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Top-up Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,819.17] -> Median: 1,819.17 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Top-up Rise of 669.1L. Future stepped down gradually (Valid Usage).
16/02/2026 16:41:59 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,756.44] -> Median: 1,819.17
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
16/02/2026 22:42:18 1,756.44 1,756.44 - SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,756.44, 1,735.53] -> Median: 1,756.44
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 62.7L in 6.0h (10.4 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
17/02/2026 04:42:37 1,735.53 1,735.53 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,756.44, 1,735.53, 1,693.71] -> Median: 1,735.53
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
17/02/2026 10:43:00 1,693.71 1,693.71 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,735.53, 1,693.71, 1,672.80] -> Median: 1,693.71
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
17/02/2026 16:43:34 1,672.80 1,672.80 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,693.71, 1,672.80, 1,651.89] -> Median: 1,672.80
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.0d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
17/02/2026 22:43:54 1,651.89 1,651.89 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,672.80, 1,651.89, 1,610.07] -> Median: 1,651.89
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
18/02/2026 04:44:13 1,610.07 1,610.07 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,651.89, 1,610.07, 1,568.25] -> Median: 1,610.07
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
18/02/2026 10:44:33 1,568.25 1,568.25 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,610.07, 1,568.25, 1,547.34] -> Median: 1,568.25
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
18/02/2026 16:44:54 1,547.34 1,547.34 135.8 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,568.25, 1,547.34, 1,505.52] -> Median: 1,547.34
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 250.9L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 135.8 L/d (Window: 2.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-16 16:41:59)
18/02/2026 22:45:13 1,505.52 1,505.52 139.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,547.34, 1,505.52, 1,463.70] -> Median: 1,505.52
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 271.8L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 139.3 L/d (Window: 2.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-16 16:41:59)
19/02/2026 04:45:32 1,463.70 1,463.70 142.0 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,505.52, 1,463.70, 1,442.79] -> Median: 1,463.70
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 313.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 142.0 L/d (Window: 2.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-16 16:41:59)
19/02/2026 10:45:52 1,442.79 1,442.79 136.7 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,463.70, 1,442.79, 1,359.15] -> Median: 1,442.79
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 355.5L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 136.7 L/d (Window: 2.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-16 16:41:59)
19/02/2026 22:46:37 1,359.15 1,359.15 141.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,442.79, 1,359.15, 1,317.33] -> Median: 1,359.15
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 376.4L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event Check: Drop of 83.6L over 12.0h. Rate 6.96L/h is safe (<15). Ignored.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 141.4 L/d (Window: 3.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-16 16:41:59)
20/02/2026 04:46:58 1,317.33 1,317.33 143.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,359.15, 1,317.33, 1,275.51] -> Median: 1,317.33
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 460.0L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 143.2 L/d (Window: 3.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-16 16:41:59)
20/02/2026 10:47:20 1,275.51 1,275.51 144.8 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,317.33, 1,275.51, 1,212.78] -> Median: 1,275.51
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 501.8L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 144.8 L/d (Window: 3.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-16 16:41:59)
20/02/2026 22:48:03 1,212.78 1,212.78 142.5 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,275.51, 1,212.78, 1,170.96] -> Median: 1,212.78
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 543.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event Check: Drop of 62.7L over 12.0h. Rate 5.22L/h is safe (<15). Ignored.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 142.5 L/d (Window: 4.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-16 16:41:59)
21/02/2026 04:48:25 1,170.96 1,170.96 143.9 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,212.78, 1,170.96, 1,170.96] -> Median: 1,170.96
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 606.4L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 143.9 L/d (Window: 4.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-16 16:41:59)
21/02/2026 10:48:44 1,170.96 1,170.96 136.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,170.96, 1,170.96, 1,150.05] -> Median: 1,170.96
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 136.3 L/d (Window: 4.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-16 16:41:59)
21/02/2026 16:49:02 1,150.05 1,150.05 133.7 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,170.96, 1,150.05, 1,087.32] -> Median: 1,150.05
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 648.2L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 133.7 L/d (Window: 5.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-16 16:41:59)
21/02/2026 22:49:21 1,087.32 1,087.32 139.3 SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,150.05, 1,087.32, 1,066.41] -> Median: 1,087.32
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 669.1L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 62.7L in 6.0h (10.4 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 139.3 L/d (Window: 5.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-16 16:41:59)
22/02/2026 04:49:42 1,066.41 1,087.32 132.9 Valid Immediate FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,087.32, 1,066.41, 1,087.32] -> Median: 1,087.32
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 132.9 L/d (Window: 5.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-16 16:41:59)
22/02/2026 10:50:00 1,087.32 1,087.32 127.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,066.41, 1,087.32, 1,087.32] -> Median: 1,087.32
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 127.2 L/d (Window: 5.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-16 16:41:59)
22/02/2026 16:50:19 1,087.32 1,087.32 121.9 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,087.32, 1,087.32, 1,045.50] -> Median: 1,087.32
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 121.9 L/d (Window: 6.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-16 16:41:59)
22/02/2026 22:50:41 1,045.50 1,045.50 123.7 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,087.32, 1,045.50, 1,024.59] -> Median: 1,045.50
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 731.9L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 123.7 L/d (Window: 6.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-16 16:41:59)
23/02/2026 04:51:00 1,024.59 1,024.59 122.1 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,045.50, 1,024.59, 1,024.59] -> Median: 1,024.59 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 773.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 122.1 L/d (Window: 6.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-16 16:41:59)
23/02/2026 10:51:24 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Top-up Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,819.17] -> Median: 1,819.17 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Top-up Rise of 794.6L. Future stepped down gradually (Valid Usage).
23/02/2026 16:51:42 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,798.26] -> Median: 1,819.17
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
23/02/2026 22:52:05 1,798.26 1,798.26 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,798.26, 1,777.35] -> Median: 1,798.26
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
24/02/2026 04:52:24 1,777.35 1,777.35 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,798.26, 1,777.35, 1,756.44] -> Median: 1,777.35
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
24/02/2026 10:52:43 1,756.44 1,756.44 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,777.35, 1,756.44, 1,735.53] -> Median: 1,756.44
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
24/02/2026 16:53:01 1,735.53 1,735.53 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,756.44, 1,735.53, 1,714.62] -> Median: 1,735.53
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.0d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
24/02/2026 22:53:19 1,714.62 1,714.62 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,735.53, 1,714.62, 1,714.62] -> Median: 1,714.62
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
25/02/2026 04:53:38 1,714.62 1,714.62 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,714.62, 1,714.62, 1,693.71] -> Median: 1,714.62
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
25/02/2026 10:53:57 1,693.71 1,693.71 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,714.62, 1,693.71, 1,672.80] -> Median: 1,693.71
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
25/02/2026 16:54:16 1,672.80 1,672.80 73.1 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,693.71, 1,672.80, 1,651.89] -> Median: 1,672.80
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 73.1 L/d (Window: 2.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-23 16:51:42)
25/02/2026 22:54:35 1,651.89 1,651.89 74.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,672.80, 1,651.89, 1,630.98] -> Median: 1,651.89
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 74.3 L/d (Window: 2.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-23 16:51:42)
26/02/2026 04:54:52 1,630.98 1,630.98 75.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,651.89, 1,630.98, 1,630.98] -> Median: 1,630.98
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 75.2 L/d (Window: 2.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-23 16:51:42)
26/02/2026 04:54:55 1,630.98 1,630.98 75.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,630.98, 1,630.98, 1,610.07] -> Median: 1,630.98
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 75.2 L/d (Window: 2.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-23 16:51:42)
26/02/2026 10:55:11 1,610.07 1,610.07 76.0 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,630.98, 1,610.07, 1,610.07] -> Median: 1,610.07
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 76.0 L/d (Window: 2.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-23 16:51:42)
26/02/2026 16:55:30 1,610.07 1,610.07 69.6 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,610.07, 1,610.07, 1,589.16] -> Median: 1,610.07
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 69.6 L/d (Window: 3.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-23 16:51:42)
26/02/2026 22:55:49 1,589.16 1,589.16 70.7 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,610.07, 1,589.16, 1,568.25] -> Median: 1,589.16
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 209.1L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 70.7 L/d (Window: 3.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-23 16:51:42)
27/02/2026 04:56:08 1,568.25 1,568.25 71.6 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,589.16, 1,568.25, 1,547.34] -> Median: 1,568.25
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rebound returned near baseline, but only after 4.0d and 14 low points. Drop accepted as real usage.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 71.6 L/d (Window: 3.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-23 16:51:42)
27/02/2026 10:56:27 1,547.34 1,547.34 72.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,568.25, 1,547.34, 1,526.43] -> Median: 1,547.34
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rebound returned near baseline, but only after 3.8d and 13 low points. Drop accepted as real usage.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 72.4 L/d (Window: 3.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-23 16:51:42)
27/02/2026 16:56:46 1,526.43 1,526.43 73.1 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,547.34, 1,526.43, 1,484.61] -> Median: 1,526.43
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 271.8L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 73.1 L/d (Window: 4.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-23 16:51:42)
27/02/2026 22:57:04 1,484.61 1,484.61 78.7 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,526.43, 1,484.61, 1,484.61] -> Median: 1,484.61
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 292.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 78.7 L/d (Window: 4.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-23 16:51:42)
28/02/2026 04:57:23 1,484.61 1,484.61 74.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,484.61, 1,484.61, 1,442.79] -> Median: 1,484.61
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 74.3 L/d (Window: 4.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-23 16:51:42)
28/02/2026 10:57:47 1,442.79 1,484.61 70.4 Valid Immediate FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,484.61, 1,442.79, 1,463.70] -> Median: 1,463.70
โ€ข Stability Filter: Clamped minor wobble drop of 20.9L back to stable level. Future rebound returned near baseline in 2.5d after a short wobble.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 70.4 L/d (Window: 4.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-23 16:51:42)
28/02/2026 16:58:10 1,463.70 1,484.61 66.9 Valid Immediate FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,442.79, 1,463.70, 1,421.88] -> Median: 1,442.79
โ€ข Stability Filter: Clamped minor wobble drop of 41.8L back to stable level. Future rebound returned near baseline in 2.3d after a short wobble.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 66.9 L/d (Window: 5.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-23 16:51:42)
28/02/2026 22:58:29 1,421.88 - - NOISE Rejected (Latency) POOR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,463.70, 1,421.88, 1,400.97] -> Median: 1,421.88
โ€ข Stability Filter: Flagged Transient Drop (Ghost Drop). Future rebound returned near baseline in 2.0d after a short wobble. Returned to stable too quickly.
01/03/2026 04:58:48 1,400.97 - - NOISE Rejected (Latency) POOR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,421.88, 1,400.97, 1,359.15] -> Median: 1,400.97
โ€ข Stability Filter: Flagged Transient Drop (Ghost Drop). Future rebound returned near baseline in 1.8d after a short wobble. Returned to stable too quickly.
01/03/2026 10:59:07 1,359.15 - - NOISE Rejected (Latency) POOR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,400.97, 1,359.15, 1,338.24] -> Median: 1,359.15
โ€ข Stability Filter: Flagged Transient Drop (Ghost Drop). Future rebound returned near baseline in 1.5d after a short wobble. Returned to stable too quickly.
01/03/2026 16:59:26 1,338.24 - - NOISE Rejected (Latency) POOR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,359.15, 1,338.24, 1,338.24] -> Median: 1,338.24
โ€ข Stability Filter: Flagged Transient Drop (Ghost Drop). Future rebound returned near baseline in 1.3d after a short wobble. Returned to stable too quickly.
01/03/2026 22:59:46 1,338.24 - - NOISE Rejected (Latency) POOR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,338.24, 1,338.24, 1,296.42] -> Median: 1,338.24
โ€ข Stability Filter: Flagged Transient Drop (Ghost Drop). Future rebound returned near baseline in 1.0d after a short wobble. Returned to stable too quickly.
02/03/2026 05:00:04 1,296.42 - - NOISE Rejected (Latency) POOR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,338.24, 1,296.42, 1,296.42] -> Median: 1,296.42 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Stability Filter: Flagged Transient Drop (Ghost Drop). Future rebound returned near baseline in 0.8d after a short wobble. Returned to stable too quickly.
02/03/2026 23:01:31 1,505.52 1,505.52 43.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,505.52, 1,505.52, 1,589.16] -> Median: 1,505.52 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Small Sustained Top-up Rise of 20.9L. Future confirms sustain (Continuous rising).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 43.2 L/d (Window: 7.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-23 16:51:42)
03/03/2026 05:01:50 1,589.16 1,589.16 30.6 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,505.52, 1,589.16, 1,589.16] -> Median: 1,589.16 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Small Sustained Top-up Rise of 83.6L. Future confirms sustain (Continuous rising).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 30.6 L/d (Window: 7.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-02-23 16:51:42)
03/03/2026 17:02:32 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Top-up Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,819.17] -> Median: 1,819.17 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Top-up Rise of 230.0L. Future stepped down gradually (Valid Usage).
03/03/2026 23:02:51 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,756.44] -> Median: 1,819.17
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
04/03/2026 17:03:52 1,756.44 1,756.44 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,756.44, 1,693.71] -> Median: 1,756.44
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rebound returned near baseline, but only after 4.8d and 15 low points. Drop accepted as real usage.
โ€ข Event Check: Drop of 62.7L over 18.0h. Rate 3.48L/h is safe (<15). Ignored.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
05/03/2026 05:04:31 1,693.71 1,714.62 - Valid Immediate FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,756.44, 1,693.71, 1,714.62] -> Median: 1,714.62
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
05/03/2026 11:04:50 1,714.62 1,693.71 - Valid Immediate FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,693.71, 1,714.62, 1,651.89] -> Median: 1,693.71
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 104.6L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
05/03/2026 23:05:28 1,651.89 1,651.89 83.6 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,714.62, 1,651.89, 1,651.89] -> Median: 1,651.89
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 125.5L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 83.6 L/d (Window: 2.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-03 23:02:51)
06/03/2026 05:05:46 1,651.89 1,651.89 74.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,651.89, 1,651.89, 1,610.07] -> Median: 1,651.89
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 74.3 L/d (Window: 2.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-03 23:02:51)
06/03/2026 11:06:09 1,610.07 1,610.07 83.6 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,651.89, 1,610.07, 1,568.25] -> Median: 1,610.07
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 167.3L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 83.6 L/d (Window: 2.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-03 23:02:51)
06/03/2026 23:06:42 1,568.25 1,568.25 83.6 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,610.07, 1,568.25, 1,568.25] -> Median: 1,568.25
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 209.1L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 83.6 L/d (Window: 3.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-03 23:02:51)
07/03/2026 05:07:01 1,568.25 1,568.25 77.1 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,568.25, 1,568.25, 1,484.61] -> Median: 1,568.25
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 77.1 L/d (Window: 3.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-03 23:02:51)
07/03/2026 17:07:41 1,484.61 1,484.61 89.1 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,568.25, 1,484.61, 1,463.70] -> Median: 1,484.61
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 250.9L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event Check: Drop of 83.6L over 12.0h. Rate 6.96L/h is safe (<15). Ignored.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 89.1 L/d (Window: 3.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-03 23:02:51)
07/03/2026 23:08:00 1,463.70 1,463.70 88.8 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,484.61, 1,463.70, 1,442.79] -> Median: 1,463.70
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 334.6L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 88.8 L/d (Window: 4.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-03 23:02:51)
08/03/2026 05:08:21 1,442.79 1,442.79 88.5 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,463.70, 1,442.79, 1,421.88] -> Median: 1,442.79
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 355.5L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 88.5 L/d (Window: 4.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-03 23:02:51)
08/03/2026 11:08:40 1,421.88 1,421.88 88.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,442.79, 1,421.88, 1,400.97] -> Median: 1,421.88
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 376.4L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 88.2 L/d (Window: 4.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-03 23:02:51)
08/03/2026 17:09:02 1,400.97 1,400.97 88.0 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,421.88, 1,400.97, 1,380.06] -> Median: 1,400.97
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 397.3L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 88.0 L/d (Window: 4.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-03 23:02:51)
08/03/2026 23:09:21 1,380.06 1,380.06 87.7 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,400.97, 1,380.06, 1,338.24] -> Median: 1,380.06
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 418.2L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 87.7 L/d (Window: 5.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-03 23:02:51)
09/03/2026 05:09:39 1,338.24 1,338.24 91.5 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,380.06, 1,338.24, 1,338.24] -> Median: 1,338.24 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 439.1L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 91.5 L/d (Window: 5.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-03 23:02:51)
09/03/2026 11:09:58 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Top-up Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,819.17] -> Median: 1,819.17 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Top-up Rise of 480.9L. Future stepped down gradually (Valid Usage).
09/03/2026 17:10:20 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,819.17] -> Median: 1,819.17
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
09/03/2026 23:10:53 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,777.35] -> Median: 1,819.17
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
10/03/2026 05:11:13 1,777.35 1,777.35 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,777.35, 1,756.44] -> Median: 1,777.35
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
10/03/2026 11:11:31 1,756.44 1,756.44 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,777.35, 1,756.44, 1,735.53] -> Median: 1,756.44
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
10/03/2026 17:11:50 1,735.53 1,735.53 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,756.44, 1,735.53, 1,693.71] -> Median: 1,735.53
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
10/03/2026 23:12:08 1,693.71 1,693.71 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,735.53, 1,693.71, 1,693.71] -> Median: 1,693.71
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.0d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
11/03/2026 05:12:43 1,693.71 1,693.71 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,693.71, 1,693.71, 1,672.80] -> Median: 1,693.71
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
11/03/2026 11:13:03 1,672.80 1,672.80 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,693.71, 1,672.80, 1,672.80] -> Median: 1,672.80
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
11/03/2026 17:13:26 1,672.80 1,672.80 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,672.80, 1,672.80, 1,630.98] -> Median: 1,672.80
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
11/03/2026 23:13:59 1,630.98 1,630.98 94.0 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,672.80, 1,630.98, 1,610.07] -> Median: 1,630.98
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 418.2L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 94.0 L/d (Window: 2.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-09 23:10:53)
12/03/2026 05:14:33 1,610.07 1,610.07 92.8 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,630.98, 1,610.07, 1,589.16] -> Median: 1,610.07
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 460.0L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 92.8 L/d (Window: 2.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-09 23:10:53)
12/03/2026 11:14:55 1,589.16 1,589.16 91.9 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,610.07, 1,589.16, 1,568.25] -> Median: 1,589.16
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 480.9L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 91.9 L/d (Window: 2.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-09 23:10:53)
12/03/2026 17:15:32 1,568.25 1,568.25 91.1 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,589.16, 1,568.25, 1,526.43] -> Median: 1,568.25
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 501.8L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 91.1 L/d (Window: 2.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-09 23:10:53)
12/03/2026 23:16:05 1,526.43 1,526.43 97.5 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,568.25, 1,526.43, 1,505.52] -> Median: 1,526.43
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 522.8L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 97.5 L/d (Window: 3.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-09 23:10:53)
13/03/2026 05:16:24 1,505.52 1,505.52 96.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,526.43, 1,505.52, 1,505.52] -> Median: 1,505.52
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 564.6L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 96.4 L/d (Window: 3.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-09 23:10:53)
13/03/2026 05:16:42 1,505.52 1,505.52 96.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,505.52, 1,505.52, 1,421.88] -> Median: 1,505.52
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 96.4 L/d (Window: 3.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-09 23:10:53)
13/03/2026 23:18:08 1,421.88 1,421.88 99.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,505.52, 1,421.88, 1,400.97] -> Median: 1,421.88
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 585.5L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event Check: Drop of 83.6L over 18.0h. Rate 4.64L/h is safe (<15). Ignored.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 99.2 L/d (Window: 4.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-09 23:10:53)
14/03/2026 05:18:41 1,400.97 1,400.97 98.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,421.88, 1,400.97, 1,359.15] -> Median: 1,400.97
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 669.1L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 98.3 L/d (Window: 4.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-09 23:10:53)
14/03/2026 11:19:05 1,359.15 1,359.15 102.1 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,400.97, 1,359.15, 1,338.24] -> Median: 1,359.15
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 690.0L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 102.1 L/d (Window: 4.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-09 23:10:53)
14/03/2026 17:19:39 1,338.24 1,338.24 101.1 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,359.15, 1,338.24, 1,317.33] -> Median: 1,338.24
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 731.9L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 101.1 L/d (Window: 4.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-09 23:10:53)
14/03/2026 23:19:57 1,317.33 1,317.33 100.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,338.24, 1,317.33, 1,275.51] -> Median: 1,317.33
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 752.8L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 100.2 L/d (Window: 5.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-09 23:10:53)
15/03/2026 05:20:16 1,275.51 1,275.51 103.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,317.33, 1,275.51, 1,275.51] -> Median: 1,275.51
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 773.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 103.4 L/d (Window: 5.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-09 23:10:53)
15/03/2026 11:20:35 1,275.51 1,275.51 98.7 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,275.51, 1,275.51, 1,191.87] -> Median: 1,275.51
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 98.7 L/d (Window: 5.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-09 23:10:53)
15/03/2026 17:20:55 1,191.87 1,191.87 109.0 SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,275.51, 1,191.87, 1,191.87] -> Median: 1,191.87
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 815.5L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 83.6L in 6.0h (13.9 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 109.0 L/d (Window: 5.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-09 23:10:53)
15/03/2026 23:21:15 1,191.87 1,191.87 104.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,191.87, 1,191.87, 1,170.96] -> Median: 1,191.87
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 104.4 L/d (Window: 6.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-09 23:10:53)
16/03/2026 05:21:35 1,170.96 1,170.96 103.6 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,191.87, 1,170.96, 1,170.96] -> Median: 1,170.96 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 899.1L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 103.6 L/d (Window: 6.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-09 23:10:53)
16/03/2026 11:21:53 2,091.00 - - NOISE Rejected (Latency) POOR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [2,091.00, 2,091.00, 1,296.42] -> Median: 2,091.00 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Flagged Top-up Overshoot Spike. Future settled 794.6L below the initial peak within 0.3d while still retaining a real top-up of 125.5L.
16/03/2026 17:22:18 1,296.42 1,296.42 - Top-up Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [2,091.00, 1,296.42, 1,296.42] -> Median: 1,296.42 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Top-up Rise of 125.5L. Future confirms sustain (Continuous rising).
16/03/2026 23:22:40 1,589.16 1,589.16 - Top-up Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,589.16, 1,589.16, 1,589.16] -> Median: 1,589.16 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Top-up Rise of 292.7L. Future confirms sustain (Continuous rising).
17/03/2026 05:22:59 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Top-up Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,819.17] -> Median: 1,819.17 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Top-up Rise of 230.0L. Future stepped down gradually (Valid Usage).
17/03/2026 11:23:20 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,819.17] -> Median: 1,819.17
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
17/03/2026 17:23:45 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,819.17] -> Median: 1,819.17
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
17/03/2026 23:24:06 1,819.17 1,819.17 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,819.17, 1,798.26] -> Median: 1,819.17
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
18/03/2026 05:24:25 1,798.26 1,798.26 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,819.17, 1,798.26, 1,777.35] -> Median: 1,798.26
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
18/03/2026 11:24:43 1,777.35 1,777.35 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,798.26, 1,777.35, 1,756.44] -> Median: 1,777.35
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
18/03/2026 17:25:05 1,756.44 1,777.35 - Valid Immediate FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,777.35, 1,756.44, 1,777.35] -> Median: 1,777.35
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
18/03/2026 23:25:39 1,777.35 1,756.44 - Valid Immediate FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,756.44, 1,777.35, 1,714.62] -> Median: 1,756.44
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.0d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
19/03/2026 05:25:59 1,714.62 1,714.62 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,777.35, 1,714.62, 1,693.71] -> Median: 1,714.62
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 334.6L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
19/03/2026 11:26:19 1,693.71 1,714.62 - Valid Immediate FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,714.62, 1,693.71, 1,714.62] -> Median: 1,714.62
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
19/03/2026 17:26:41 1,714.62 1,693.71 - Valid Immediate FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,693.71, 1,714.62, 1,672.80] -> Median: 1,693.71
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 376.4L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
19/03/2026 23:27:02 1,672.80 1,672.80 73.1 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,714.62, 1,672.80, 1,654.82] -> Median: 1,672.80
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 397.3L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 73.1 L/d (Window: 2.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-17 23:24:06)
20/03/2026 05:27:23 1,654.82 1,654.82 73.0 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,672.80, 1,654.82, 1,636.63] -> Median: 1,654.82
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 418.2L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 73.0 L/d (Window: 2.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-17 23:24:06)
20/03/2026 11:27:46 1,636.63 1,636.63 72.9 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,654.82, 1,636.63, 1,606.31] -> Median: 1,636.63
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 436.2L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 72.9 L/d (Window: 2.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-17 23:24:06)
20/03/2026 23:28:29 1,606.31 1,606.31 70.9 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,636.63, 1,606.31, 1,590.21] -> Median: 1,606.31
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 454.4L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 70.9 L/d (Window: 3.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-17 23:24:06)
21/03/2026 05:28:48 1,590.21 1,590.21 70.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,606.31, 1,590.21, 1,549.64] -> Median: 1,590.21
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 484.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 70.4 L/d (Window: 3.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-17 23:24:06)
21/03/2026 11:29:07 1,549.64 1,551.73 76.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,590.21, 1,549.64, 1,551.73] -> Median: 1,551.73
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 500.8L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 76.3 L/d (Window: 3.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-17 23:24:06)
21/03/2026 17:29:40 1,551.73 1,549.64 71.8 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,549.64, 1,551.73, 1,515.35] -> Median: 1,549.64
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 539.3L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 71.8 L/d (Window: 3.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-17 23:24:06)
21/03/2026 23:30:03 1,515.35 1,515.35 75.9 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,551.73, 1,515.35, 1,505.31] -> Median: 1,515.35
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 541.4L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 75.9 L/d (Window: 4.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-17 23:24:06)
22/03/2026 05:30:23 1,505.31 1,505.31 73.8 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,515.35, 1,505.31, 1,474.99] -> Median: 1,505.31
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 575.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 73.8 L/d (Window: 4.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-17 23:24:06)
22/03/2026 11:30:42 1,474.99 1,474.99 76.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,505.31, 1,474.99, 1,464.95] -> Median: 1,474.99
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 585.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 76.4 L/d (Window: 4.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-17 23:24:06)
22/03/2026 17:31:00 1,464.95 1,464.95 74.5 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,474.99, 1,464.95, 1,452.83] -> Median: 1,464.95
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 616.0L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 74.5 L/d (Window: 4.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-17 23:24:06)
22/03/2026 23:31:21 1,452.83 1,452.83 73.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,464.95, 1,452.83, 1,422.51] -> Median: 1,452.83
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 626.0L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 73.2 L/d (Window: 5.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-17 23:24:06)
23/03/2026 05:31:40 1,422.51 1,422.51 75.5 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,452.83, 1,422.51, 1,266.94] -> Median: 1,422.51
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 638.2L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 75.5 L/d (Window: 5.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-17 23:24:06)
23/03/2026 11:32:00 1,266.94 1,327.58 89.3 SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,422.51, 1,266.94, 1,327.58] -> Median: 1,327.58
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 668.5L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 94.9L in 6.0h (15.8 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 89.3 L/d (Window: 5.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-17 23:24:06)
23/03/2026 17:32:18 1,327.58 1,327.58 85.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,266.94, 1,327.58, 1,327.58] -> Median: 1,327.58 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 85.4 L/d (Window: 5.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-17 23:24:06)
23/03/2026 23:32:55 2,091.00 - - NOISE Rejected (Latency) POOR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [2,091.00, 2,091.00, 1,497.16] -> Median: 2,091.00 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Flagged Top-up Overshoot Spike. Future settled 593.8L below the initial peak within 0.3d while still retaining a real top-up of 169.6L.
24/03/2026 05:33:30 1,497.16 1,497.16 - Top-up Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [2,091.00, 1,497.16, 1,497.16] -> Median: 1,497.16 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Top-up Rise of 169.6L. Future confirms sustain (Continuous rising).
24/03/2026 11:33:54 1,820.42 1,820.42 - Top-up Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,820.42, 1,820.42, 1,820.42] -> Median: 1,820.42 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Top-up Rise of 323.3L. Future stepped down gradually (Valid Usage).
24/03/2026 17:34:10 1,820.42 1,820.42 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,820.42, 1,820.42, 1,820.42] -> Median: 1,820.42
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
24/03/2026 23:34:33 1,820.42 1,820.42 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,820.42, 1,820.42, 1,767.94] -> Median: 1,820.42
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
25/03/2026 05:34:57 1,767.94 1,767.94 - SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,820.42, 1,767.94, 1,739.71] -> Median: 1,767.94
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 52.5L in 6.0h (8.7 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
25/03/2026 11:35:17 1,739.71 1,739.71 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,767.94, 1,739.71, 1,701.24] -> Median: 1,739.71
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
25/03/2026 17:35:38 1,701.24 1,701.24 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,739.71, 1,701.24, 1,673.01] -> Median: 1,701.24
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
25/03/2026 23:35:56 1,673.01 1,673.01 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,701.24, 1,673.01, 1,662.97] -> Median: 1,673.01
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.0d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
26/03/2026 05:36:15 1,662.97 1,662.97 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,673.01, 1,662.97, 1,614.46] -> Median: 1,662.97
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
26/03/2026 11:36:36 1,614.46 1,614.46 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,662.97, 1,614.46, 1,600.24] -> Median: 1,614.46
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 157.5L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
26/03/2026 17:36:57 1,600.24 1,600.24 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,614.46, 1,600.24, 1,582.05] -> Median: 1,600.24
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 206.0L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
26/03/2026 23:37:31 1,582.05 1,582.05 119.1 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,600.24, 1,582.05, 1,551.73] -> Median: 1,582.05
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rebound returned near baseline, but only after 3.5d and 13 low points. Drop accepted as real usage.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 119.1 L/d (Window: 2.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-24 23:34:33)
27/03/2026 05:37:54 1,551.73 1,551.73 119.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,582.05, 1,551.73, 1,521.41] -> Median: 1,551.73
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rebound returned near baseline, but only after 3.3d and 12 low points. Drop accepted as real usage.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 119.3 L/d (Window: 2.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-24 23:34:33)
27/03/2026 11:38:15 1,521.41 1,521.41 119.5 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,551.73, 1,521.41, 1,509.28] -> Median: 1,521.41
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 268.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 119.5 L/d (Window: 2.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-24 23:34:33)
27/03/2026 17:38:49 1,509.28 1,509.28 113.0 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,521.41, 1,509.28, 1,438.61] -> Median: 1,509.28
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 299.0L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 113.0 L/d (Window: 2.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-24 23:34:33)
27/03/2026 23:39:11 1,438.61 1,458.89 120.4 SUDDEN_DROP Verified (Latency) FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,509.28, 1,438.61, 1,458.89] -> Median: 1,458.89
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 311.1L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Event: SUDDEN_DROP detected. Drop 50.4L in 6.0h (8.4 L/h).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 120.4 L/d (Window: 3.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-24 23:34:33)
28/03/2026 05:39:46 1,458.89 1,438.61 117.4 Valid Immediate FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,438.61, 1,458.89, 1,426.48] -> Median: 1,438.61
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 137.4L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 117.4 L/d (Window: 3.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-24 23:34:33)
28/03/2026 11:40:07 1,426.48 1,426.48 112.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,458.89, 1,426.48, 1,404.32] -> Median: 1,426.48
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 157.7L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 112.4 L/d (Window: 3.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-24 23:34:33)
28/03/2026 17:40:24 1,404.32 1,404.32 110.8 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,426.48, 1,404.32, 1,357.69] -> Median: 1,404.32
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 169.8L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 110.8 L/d (Window: 3.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-24 23:34:33)
28/03/2026 23:40:59 1,357.69 1,357.69 115.6 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,404.32, 1,357.69, 1,333.64] -> Median: 1,357.69
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 192.0L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 115.6 L/d (Window: 4.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-24 23:34:33)
29/03/2026 05:41:20 1,333.64 1,333.64 114.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,357.69, 1,333.64, 1,311.27] -> Median: 1,333.64
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 238.6L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 114.4 L/d (Window: 4.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-24 23:34:33)
29/03/2026 11:41:42 1,311.27 1,311.27 113.0 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,333.64, 1,311.27, 1,266.94] -> Median: 1,311.27
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 262.6L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 113.0 L/d (Window: 4.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-24 23:34:33)
29/03/2026 17:42:04 1,266.94 1,266.94 116.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,311.27, 1,266.94, 1,258.78] -> Median: 1,266.94
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 285.0L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 116.4 L/d (Window: 4.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-24 23:34:33)
29/03/2026 23:42:39 1,258.78 1,258.78 112.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,266.94, 1,258.78, 1,258.78] -> Median: 1,258.78 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 329.3L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 112.2 L/d (Window: 5.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-24 23:34:33)
30/03/2026 11:43:39 1,596.27 - - NOISE Rejected (Latency) POOR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,596.27, 1,596.27, 1,596.27] -> Median: 1,596.27 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Flagged Transient Spike (Ghost Fill). Future plummeted back to baseline inside window (0.5d).
30/03/2026 17:43:58 1,596.27 - - NOISE Rejected (Latency) POOR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,596.27, 1,596.27, 1,242.68] -> Median: 1,596.27
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Flagged Transient Spike (Ghost Fill). Future plummeted back to baseline inside window (0.3d).
30/03/2026 23:44:19 1,242.68 1,242.68 96.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,596.27, 1,242.68, 1,242.68] -> Median: 1,242.68 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future rise is Real Top-up (Ended 561.6L higher). Drop accepted.
โ€ข Usage Rate: 96.2 L/d (Window: 6.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-24 23:34:33)
31/03/2026 05:44:39 1,820.42 1,820.42 - Top-up Verified (Latency) GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,820.42, 1,820.42, 1,820.42] -> Median: 1,820.42 (Edge Protected)
โ€ข Monotonic Logic: Accepted Top-up Rise of 577.7L. Future stepped down gradually (Valid Usage).
31/03/2026 11:45:01 1,820.42 1,820.42 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,820.42, 1,820.42, 1,820.42] -> Median: 1,820.42
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
31/03/2026 17:45:23 1,820.42 1,820.42 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,820.42, 1,820.42, 1,820.42] -> Median: 1,820.42
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
31/03/2026 23:45:43 1,820.42 1,820.42 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,820.42, 1,820.42, 1,816.45] -> Median: 1,820.42
โ€ข Stability Filter: No change in volume.
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
01/04/2026 05:46:05 1,816.45 1,816.45 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,820.42, 1,816.45, 1,770.03] -> Median: 1,816.45
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
01/04/2026 11:46:27 1,770.03 1,770.03 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,816.45, 1,770.03, 1,757.90] -> Median: 1,770.03
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
01/04/2026 17:46:46 1,757.90 1,765.85 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,770.03, 1,757.90, 1,765.85] -> Median: 1,765.85
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (0.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
01/04/2026 23:47:04 1,765.85 1,757.90 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,757.90, 1,765.85, 1,719.43] -> Median: 1,757.90
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.0d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
02/04/2026 05:47:41 1,719.43 1,719.43 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,765.85, 1,719.43, 1,707.30] -> Median: 1,719.43
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.3d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
02/04/2026 11:47:57 1,707.30 1,707.30 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,719.43, 1,707.30, 1,697.26] -> Median: 1,707.30
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.5d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
02/04/2026 17:48:18 1,697.26 1,697.26 - Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,707.30, 1,697.26, 1,679.07] -> Median: 1,697.26
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: Window too short (1.8d) and hit Topup. Cannot expand.
02/04/2026 23:48:54 1,679.07 1,679.07 70.6 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,697.26, 1,679.07, 1,669.04] -> Median: 1,679.07
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 70.6 L/d (Window: 2.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-31 23:45:43)
03/04/2026 05:49:12 1,669.04 1,669.04 67.2 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,679.07, 1,669.04, 1,636.63] -> Median: 1,669.04
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 67.2 L/d (Window: 2.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-31 23:45:43)
03/04/2026 11:49:32 1,636.63 1,636.63 73.4 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,669.04, 1,636.63, 1,616.34] -> Median: 1,636.63
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 73.4 L/d (Window: 2.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-31 23:45:43)
03/04/2026 17:49:54 1,616.34 1,616.34 74.1 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,636.63, 1,616.34, 1,608.40] -> Median: 1,616.34
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 74.1 L/d (Window: 2.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-31 23:45:43)
03/04/2026 23:50:13 1,608.40 1,608.40 70.6 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,616.34, 1,608.40, 1,596.27] -> Median: 1,608.40
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 70.6 L/d (Window: 3.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-31 23:45:43)
04/04/2026 05:50:33 1,596.27 1,596.27 68.9 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,608.40, 1,596.27, 1,565.95] -> Median: 1,596.27
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 68.9 L/d (Window: 3.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-31 23:45:43)
04/04/2026 11:50:53 1,565.95 1,565.95 72.6 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,596.27, 1,565.95, 1,535.63] -> Median: 1,565.95
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 72.6 L/d (Window: 3.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-31 23:45:43)
04/04/2026 17:51:13 1,535.63 1,539.60 74.8 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,565.95, 1,535.63, 1,539.60] -> Median: 1,539.60
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 74.8 L/d (Window: 3.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-31 23:45:43)
04/04/2026 23:51:29 1,539.60 1,535.63 71.1 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,535.63, 1,539.60, 1,497.16] -> Median: 1,535.63
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 71.1 L/d (Window: 4.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-31 23:45:43)
05/04/2026 05:51:51 1,497.16 1,497.16 76.0 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,539.60, 1,497.16, 1,448.64] -> Median: 1,497.16
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 76.0 L/d (Window: 4.3 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-31 23:45:43)
05/04/2026 11:52:13 1,448.64 1,471.02 77.6 Valid Immediate FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,497.16, 1,448.64, 1,471.02] -> Median: 1,471.02
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 77.6 L/d (Window: 4.5 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-31 23:45:43)
05/04/2026 17:52:38 1,471.02 1,448.64 78.2 Valid Immediate FAIR
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,448.64, 1,471.02, 1,428.57] -> Median: 1,448.64
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 78.2 L/d (Window: 4.8 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-31 23:45:43)
05/04/2026 23:52:58 1,428.57 1,428.57 78.3 Valid Immediate GOOD
โ€ข Smoothing: Window [1,471.02, 1,428.57, 1,428.57] -> Median: 1,428.57
โ€ข Stability Filter: Accepted drop. Future confirms drop (No rebound).
โ€ข Usage Rate: 78.3 L/d (Window: 5.0 days, Lookback: 14d, Anchor: 2026-03-31 23:45:43)